Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 51.641352 60.540211 70.233448 81.540283 94.329615 108.309198 124.706555
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 38.654458 50.660201 64.939945 83.018117 105.122391 131.089048 163.703462
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 28.143707 40.498550 56.297123 77.651348 105.390025 139.802573 185.268218
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 23.689914 36.780667 54.519599 79.756158 114.091117 158.465602 219.319860
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 19.521063 32.564443 51.221115 79.035034 118.481748 171.337750 246.214941
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 17.833770 31.574433 52.118434 83.921991 130.536740 194.786351 288.116060
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 14.224782 26.996408 47.091994 79.559455 128.930792 199.133538 303.942210
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.817357 25.728141 46.887266 82.239438 137.551014 218.098363 340.872774
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.138899 25.578853 48.388365 87.596065 150.420879 243.736923 388.424671
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.023916 24.461728 48.123268 90.016902 158.816605 263.093930 427.604404
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.892589 23.127063 47.304318 91.379676 165.521868 280.117991 463.946786
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.523658 21.098502 45.005539 89.971667 167.560079 289.971605 489.778447
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.413261 19.547583 43.645718 90.525155 173.638289 307.643635 530.396991
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.516571 18.309673 42.765838 91.936371 181.426742 328.745495 577.909222
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.051570 15.441298 38.241596 86.069714 176.064202 328.136549 590.958619
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.538419 14.737039 38.031490 88.361106 185.255961 351.929608 644.225205
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.860680 13.446946 36.369172 87.575262 188.713328 366.153683 682.378234
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.691322 13.492029 37.667767 92.897468 203.854992 401.075802 756.284141
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.923393 11.632529 34.309912 88.146583 199.477518 401.755306 772.576341
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.686789 11.303328 34.537868 91.065551 210.112630 429.403250 835.863471
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.613736 11.479682 36.034932 96.895941 226.840542 468.680839 920.633071
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.394604 11.116509 36.110488 99.529258 237.286094 496.978640 987.271019
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.150281 10.598465 35.705728 101.011215 245.450391 521.409329 1047.960198